Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Hermes 10 Mile Race - History & Predictions


I have run this race 3 times now, starting from the inaugural race in 2005. Here are my times:

2005 – 1:16:30 – 97/692, 11 ag (34F, freezing rain)
2006 – 1:14:52 – 128/840, 17 ag (60 Foggy)
2007 – 1:11:44 – 86/778, 11 ag (50 Rainy)

The inaugural race was done with freezing rain and I was running with shorts! I got hypothermia at the end :). In 2007 I was just coming out from the Detox diet supervised by my wife and I was feeling strong and lean at 168 lbs.

Last year's race went very well for me so my goal for this year’s race is simply to improve my time from last year. If I run strong, I might even break 1:10 (for that, I would need a 7 min/mi pace - the good thing with 10 mile races is that it is easy to figure out pace for a given time and visa versa!)

Here is the report from last year’s race:

So, here I am, showing up for the 10 mi race in downtown Cleveland, with new
shoes, new shorts ($40!!! that's insane!), new socks ($10!) and down to 168
lbs after a 11 day diet.

I did not know what to expect.... The weather was crummy... started raining
just when the race started, but it was not too bad.

Result: I DID GREAT, improving my time from last year by almost 3 minutes!

Mile - 2006 - 2007 - Difference (seconds)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
1 - 7:09 - 7:03 - 6
2 - 6:52 - 7:10 +28 (don't know why I went so fast last year)
3 - 7:35 - 7:08 -27
4 - 7:29 - 7:03 -26
5 - 7:16 - 6:49 -27 (downhill, fast times)
6 - 7:21 - 7:11 -10
7 - 7:34 - 7:10 -24
8 - 7:55 - 7:33 -22 (strong head wind)
9 - 8:04 - 7:47 -17 (uphill)
10 - 7:44 - 7:02 -42

The first two miles were actually faster last year. Then I settled in a 27
second faster pace per mile. My pace up to mile 7 was nearly constant,
around 7:10 (mile 5 was downhill). Miles 6-8 were on a straight stretch by
a small airport, felt like a death march (my comment from last year) but
this year I was feeling strong along this stretch. Mile 8 especially was
against a strong head wind, not very pleasant, time slows down. Mile 9 is
uphill (hence the slow times, both years).

A clear difference from last year is in mile 10. Last year I was tired by
then (I remember I was feeling tired the last 3 miles, and the time shows
it) while this year mile 10 is my best mile for the entire race. I finished
with plenty of energy.

No comments: